April 20, 2016

Clinton Is Touting Her New York Win, But These 5 Stats Show Why She Shouldn’t Be Celebrating

Hillary Clinton went into the New York primary needing a knock-out punch. What she got was Bernie Sanders’ campaign manager Jeff Weaver pledging that Sanders would take the Democratic primary fight to the convention.

While Clinton won her home state, the Washington Post’s Dan Balz writes that her win came at substantial cost:

“But any cause for celebration among her supporters probably will be tempered by the reality that her unexpectedly difficult nomination battle has taken a significant toll on her candidacy.”

Balz also emphasizes that as the Democratic primary has progressed, Clinton’s numbers have gone in the wrong direction. While Clinton was once overwhelmingly ahead in the head-to-head national numbers, she is now virtually tied with Sanders:

“Since October, when her candidacy began rising again after several months of controversy about her use of a private email server, she has been on a downward slide. Her lead over the senator from Vermont has dropped from what was then a 31-point advantage to the current two points. Meanwhile, her negative ratings have been rising and now outweigh her positives by 24 points.”

Dan Balz’s analysis is bolstered by the exit polls from last night. The exit polls illustrate that the former Secretary of State’s troubles among voters concerned with a candidate’s honesty and young voters are ongoing and significant.

See below for some of Clinton’s lowlights in the New York primary:

60%: The margin by which Clinton lost among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was honesty.

26%: Sanders’ margin over Clinton among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was a candidate who “cares.”

33%: The percentage of New York Democrats who said they would be “concerned” or “scared” if Clinton were elected president.

30%: The percentage by which Clinton lost among New York voters aged 18 to 29 last night.

12%: Clinton’s margin over Sanders among voters asked “who ran the more unfair campaign?”