March 2, 2016

Clinton’s Failure To Close Deal On Super Tuesday Means Long, Hard Slog Ahead

Before Super Tuesday’s results came in Hillary Clinton and her allies were starting to talk about the Democratic race as all but over. One “top Democrat” close to the Clintons went as far as saying that “the aircraft carrier is definitely shifting to the general election this week.”

Then came the results. Bernie Sanders won four states, Colorado, Vermont, Minnesota, and Oklahoma, and proved once again he’s not going away.

Clinton’s failure to close the deal with Democrats means that the primary race will keep going for months. Sanders’ huge fundraising totals and millions of small-dollar donors guarantees that he will be competitive for the entire Democratic contest:

“Sanders has outraised Clinton decisively since the beginning of the year (scoring a record-breaking $40 million in February — including an amazing $5 million day)”

That means that at the very least, Clinton will be forced to focus her “money, time, and energy” on the Democratic primary for the foreseeable future:

“Clinton will be forced to spend money, time and energy that she would have liked to have stored away for a general election on a nomination contest that many had long assumed was hers for the taking. She will have less time to sell herself to voters in a general election and the party will have less time to unify around her.”

Clinton’s failure also means that even if she clinches the Democratic nomination before the convention, she will be faced with a significant number of Sanders’ delegates who want to enact significant reforms to the Democratic Party:

“They’re already prepping the fallback plan: 10 areas, including killing Obama’s trade deals and changing the super-delegate process that they’re going to organize around and try forcing into the Democratic platform. ‘Worst case, we’re going to Philadelphia with 1,500 delegates. Best case, we’re going to win,’ Cohen said. ‘Either way, we’re going to change things.’”