January 14, 2016

Feeling The Bern, Clinton’s Campaign Promises To Go Negative

With just two weeks until the Iowa caucuses, Hillary Clinton’s campaign is hitting the panic button. Recent polling shows that Iowa is now a tossup between Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, something that would have been unthinkable just six months ago.

Today, Clinton surrogate and former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack guaranteed that, “there will be plenty of negative advertising that will redefine Bernie Sanders.”

It would seem that Clinton is walking back her claim that she had “no interest” in running negative ads against Sanders.

But just like so many other desperate attacks, don’t bet on this tactic working for Team Clinton, either.


The Washington Post’s Philip Bump wrote an in-depth article comparing Clinton’s 2008 campaign struggles to her current struggles.

Some key takeaways from the article are:

  • In Iowa, Clinton is running a bit better than she did in 2008 — though, again, she’s dipped significantly recently. It wasn’t until the last week in 2008 that she fell out of the lead. She eventually came in third.
  • She’s doing far worse in New Hampshire than she did in 2008, thanks to New Hampshire being very much the home turf (and home demographics) of her main opponent.
  • National numbers don’t mean much right now. They’re fickle.