April 15, 2016

Gallup Reports Clinton’s Support Among Dems Is Slipping, And This New Sanders Ad Won’t Help Her Much

Secretary Clinton got hit with a series of hard truths this Friday, none harsher than a new Gallup poll that shows her support among Democrats is an abysmal +36 percent favorability – half of what it was in November 2015:

GallupGraph

We can start with the Democratic side of the ledger, where Clinton’s current net favorable rating of +36 among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents is based on 66% who give her a favorable rating and 30% who give her an unfavorable rating.

Clinton’s image has undergone ups and downs over the course of the campaign season, just as it has over her entire 25-year career in the national spotlight. Overall, however, April so far has not been kind to the former secretary of state. Her net favorable rating has descended steadily to her current low point — in the midst of a crucial stage of the primary season, which will help determine whether she’ll emerge the clear winner over Bernie Sanders before the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this July.

The most obvious reason for Clinton’s slippage is the protracted Democrat primary, which has unexpectedly drained her resources and routinely put Clinton on defense. Today, Clinton’s rival Bernie Sanders put out a new ad that attacks Clinton’s exorbitant paid speaking fees while simultaneously criticizing her refusal to support a national $15 minimum wage:

“Wall Street banks shower Washington politicians with campaign contributions and speaking fees,” the narrator in the ad says. “While Washington politicians are paid over $200,000 an hour for speeches, they oppose raising the living wage to $15 an hour. “Two hundred thousand dollars an hour for them, but not even 15 bucks an hour for all Americans. Enough is enough.”

So while Clinton is spending money she never expected to, she’s also failing to win over crucial former Obama donors, putting a greater strain on her financial operation:

At least 33 of the 145 political donors who gave $25,000 or more in 2012 to Priorities USA, the super-PAC that backed Obama’s re-election and now supports Clinton’s bid, have yet to contribute to either Clinton’s campaign or affiliated outside committees, according to a Bloomberg analysis of the most recently available Federal Election Commission records.

Clinton is certainly not at a loss for money, but the protracted battle she finds herself in with Senator Sanders is putting unexpected strain on an already hesitant donor base—a real headache for Clinton, if this primary goes all the way to the convention.