March 3, 2016

Super Tuesday Exit Polls Show Dangerously Bad Honesty Numbers For Hillary Clinton

New exit polls from Super Tuesday show that the one constant in the race is that Democratic voters overwhelming believe Clinton is not honest and trustworthy. Yesterday on MSNBC Kristen Welker noted that overall Clinton lost among Super Tuesday voters who value most that their candidate is honest and trustworthy 69% to 29% on Super Tuesday.

Also troubling for Clinton is the dramatic fall-off in Democratic turnout. The New York Times noted that there “were troubling signs of a party that has not yet rallied to her call”:

“Democratic turnout has fallen drastically since 2008, the last time the party had a contested primary, with roughly three million fewer Democrats voting in the 15 states that have held caucuses or primaries through Tuesday, according to unofficial election results tallied through Wednesday afternoon.”

Poor turnout and honesty numbers are a recipe for disaster in a general election. Below are some of the key numbers that have to be keeping the Clinton campaign up at night:

2%: The percentage Clinton got in Vermont among the 49% of voters who said honesty was the quality in a candidate they cared about most.

9%: The percentage of people who voted for Clinton in Massachusetts after saying that honesty was their top candidate quality. Sanders got 91%.

57%: Margin Sanders beat Clinton by in Virginia among voters who valued most honesty and trustworthiness.

51%: Percentage of Oklahoma voters who said Clinton was not honest and trustworthy.

27%: The total by which Clinton lost among voters in Tennessee who claimed honesty was their top candidate quality.

20%: The margin Sanders beat Clinton by in Texas among first-time voters.

16%: The percentage Clinton lost among 18 to 29-year-old voters by in her old home state of Arkansas.