May 11, 2016

Top 5 Numbers To Take Away From The WV Dem Primary

When Hillary Clinton competed in the West Virginia primary in 2008, she won 67% of the vote.
This time around her support dropped dramatically, falling to just over 38%. No point illustrates Clinton’s fall better than the fact that in 2008 she won every West Virginia county, and in 2016 Clinton lost every single county.

Clinton’s support collapsed in large part due to her tone-deaf comments regarding the coal industry:

“Mrs. Clinton struggled in the state, not just because of her alliance with Mr. Obama, but also because of her missteps in discussing the coal industry. A comment, lifted out of context but clunky nonetheless, about the coal industry and people being put out of business followed her there, and she faced protests from coal workers during campaign stops.”

Clinton’s devastating loss in West Virginia means that she’s now lost 20 times to socialist Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Sanders’ victory gives him tremendous momentum, and allows him to take the fight all the way to the convention:

“Bernie Sanders may be on the verge of a winning streak. After defeating Hillary Clinton in the Indiana Democratic primary, the Vermont senator notched a win in West Virginia on Tuesday, and appears well-positioned for a victory in the upcoming Oregon primary. That will allow Sanders to claim momentum. It’s also likely to help the campaign pull in a fresh flood of small-dollar donations from energized supporters.”

Even if Clinton wraps up the nomination, the exit polls from West Virginia show many trouble spots for her in the general election. Clinton continues to show limited appeal to the young voters that were so critical to the Obama coalition, and her honesty numbers continue to be underwater.

See below for the five numbers that paint a bleak picture of Clinton’s political future:

53%: The percentage of West Virginia Democrats who say they will not vote for Clinton in November if she were the nominee.

48%: The margin by which Clinton lost among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was honesty.

45%: The margin by which Clinton lost among West Virginia voters aged 17 to 29.

36%: The margin by which Clinton lost among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was a candidate who “cares.”

26%: The margin by which Clinton lost among coal industry households.