May 4, 2016

Top Five Stats To Know From The Indiana Democratic Primary

When Hillary Clinton planned out her presidential campaign last year, she surely expected that by May she’d be the presumptive Democratic nominee. Yet on May 4th, after an embarrassing loss last night in Indiana, Clinton still hasn’t reached that goal.

Clinton’s inability to close out the nomination will present problems for her in the general election. Following Sanders’ victory last night, he blasted the Clinton campaign and Democratic establishment’s arrogance in thinking the Democratic race was over:

“Bernie Sanders said Tuesday that his primary bid against Hillary Clinton was far from over, pointing to his victory in Indiana and strength in upcoming races as a sign of his durability in the presidential campaign. ‘I know that the Clinton campaign thinks this campaign is over. They’re wrong,’ Sanders said in a telephone interview with The Associated Press from New Albany, Indiana. ‘Maybe it’s over for the insiders and the party establishment but the voters today in Indiana had a different idea.'”

If Sanders and his supporters feel that Clinton needlessly elbowed Sanders out of the race, those bad feelings could linger well into the fall. As the Indiana exit polls showed, a significant number of Indiana Democrats are already saying they’re not willing to commit to voting for Clinton if she’s the nominee.

Additionally, the Indiana exit polls continued Clinton’s streak of states in which voters thought she was the less honest and caring candidate. See below for the five key numbers coming out of the Indiana Democratic primary:

60%: The margin by which Clinton lost among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was honesty.

48%: The margin by which Clinton lost among Indiana voters aged 17 to 29 last night.

46%: The percentage of Indiana Democrats who would not commit to voting for Clinton if she were the nominee.

40%: The margin by which Clinton lost among voters who said their “top candidate quality” was a candidate who “cares.”

30%: The percentage of Indiana Democrats who said they would be “concerned” or “scared” if Clinton were elected president.